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HomeMortgage News & RatesInterest Rate Update May, 2024

Interest Rate Update May, 2024

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  1. The Bank of Canada convened on April 10th, maintaining the overnight lending rate at 5% for the 7th consecutive meeting, translating to a prime lending rate of 7.2%. This decision was in line with market expectations.
  2. Despite a 10-point increase in the headline Consumer Price Index (CPI) from 2.8% to 2.9% in March, there was a softening in the Bank of Canada’s preferred inflation metrics—CPI Median & CPI Trimmed Mean—both falling below projections. This divergence raises anticipation for potential shifts in monetary policy.
  3. The upcoming rate meeting scheduled for June 5th is drawing significant attention, with many economists forecasting the possibility of the first rate cut and the initiation of a quantitative easing cycle. Speculation points to potential adjustments either in June or during the subsequent July 24th meeting.
  4. Critical data releases to monitor leading up to the June meeting include February’s GDP figures (April 30th), April’s employment data (May 10th), and April’s inflation data (May 21st). Websites like Trading Economics provide convenient access to stay informed about these announcements.
  5. Bond yields experienced upward pressure in the latter half of April, primarily influenced by robust economic and inflationary data from the United States, coupled with escalating global tensions. Consequently, some lenders responded by raising their fixed mortgage rates by 15-25 basis points.
  6. For individuals with impending mortgage renewals or those considering new mortgage arrangements, it’s essential to note that rates can be held for up to 120 days. This provision offers protection against potential rate fluctuations, underscoring the importance of initiating discussions early to leverage rate holds effectively.
  7. Should you have any inquiries regarding mortgages or seek a second opinion, don’t hesitate to reach out for assistance. Keeping abreast of market developments and understanding the implications for your financial situation is key in navigating the current interest rate landscape.

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